Using a standard statistical algorithm, Horvath identified the 363 CpG regions that correlated most strongly with chronological age, regardless of which part of the body the cells were isolated from. The same algorithm ensured that the 353 numbers were multiplied by the values of the methylation levels of each region, then added up all the values. The resulting number is not a direct measure of age, in the last step of the evaluation a table (empirically constructed curve) is used to determine the age corresponding to the number.
This curve is a rough representation of the function before it is transformed into a measure of age. It should be noted that the methylation profile changes at a high rate during the first five years of life, which gradually decreases during the growth phase and levels off to a steady decline after about 18 years of age.
Although the Horvath clock was developed independently of the tissue from which the DNA was isolated, some variation is possible. The strongest variations are characteristic of the breast, which ages faster than the rest of the body, and the brain, which ages much more slowly. Blood and bone tissue are characterised by slightly accelerated ageing; sperm and eggs are at ‘zero age’ regardless of a person’s age. The placentas of women of any age are also zero-aged.
Similarly, induced pluripotent stem cells (derived from the 4 Yamanaka factors) are zero age. At the same time, similar exposure can turn differentiated cells of one type into cells of another type, such as skin cells into neurons. This has no effect on epigenetic age.
Liver cells tend to be older than the rest of the body in overweight people and younger in underweight people. This pattern does not appear to extend to other tissues. For example, the age by methylation of fat cells in obese people does not exceed the corresponding figure for the rest of the body. And, perhaps unexpectedly, weight loss does not normalise the methylation age of liver cells (at least not over a 9-month follow-up period in one of the studies investigating this issue).
A number of studies have found correlations between methylation age and the risk of various diseases and mortality. In such studies, all environmental factors, including smoking, obesity, physical activity, occupational hazards, etc., are adjusted for in the analyses. Together, these exposures are referred to as ‘externalities’. The results showed that exposure to such factors increases methylation age and, independently of this, methylation age correlates with intrinsic (genetic) factors that influence longevity. Horvath estimates that genotype is responsible for 40 per cent of the variability in methylation age, providing a discrepancy with chronological age. The methylation age of males is slightly higher than that of females. This is evident already by the age of two years. Delayed menopause corresponds to a younger methylation age. The level of cognitive function has an inverse correlation with age by brain methylation.
Speaking to Horvath at the same conference, Jim Watson stated that there are many supplements and drugs that can slow Horvath’s clock. He devotes his talk to metformin, which Watson says affects epigenetics through a mechanism completely unrelated to lowering blood sugar levels (the reason metformin is prescribed to tens of millions of people with diabetes).
There is a very interesting clue: a small number of children never develop and grow and continue to look like babies until they are 20 or possibly more years old. These children have a normal methylation age. Whatever is blocking their growth is not altering the methylation process of their DNA. Does this mean that there are other epigenetic mechanisms, more powerful than methylation, regulating growth and development? Or do children with this syndrome have normal epigenetic development, but something downstream of gene expression is blocking their growth? In contrast, Hutchinson-Gilford progeria is caused by a defect in the
LMNA gene that causes premature aging and death that occurs earlier than adulthood. According to Horvath’s clock, children with this disease have a normal methylation age.
Radiation, like smoking and oxidation by environmental factors, accelerates aging of the body. This is independent of age at methylation, which is not affected by radiation. Neither smoking nor exposure to radiation affects epigenetic age. HIV also accelerates the aging process and does not affect age at methylation.
Methylation age and telomere age are correlated with chronological age, but they predict mortality and morbidity independent of chronological age. At the same time, the two indices do not correlate with each other. In other words, the data provided by the methylation clock and telomere length measurements complement each other, and their combined use provides better performance in predicting age-related decline that will occur in the future than their use separately.
Diet has a weak effect on age at methylation. Diets very high in carbohydrate and very low in protein are markedly worse. In addition to this, evidence in favour of the ‘golden mean’ comes from two approaches, namely the protein-depleted Ornish diet and the type of diets that include the
Zone diet and the Atkins diet. The evidence is not strong enough to be unequivocally conclusive, but it does point to the possible efficacy of these approaches.
It is also known that the epigenetic clock does not work in malignant tumours.